Main horse racing advisor and pundit Andrew Mount is common contributor to the Racing Publish, Weekender, Racing & Soccer Outlook, GG.co.uk and William Hill Radio. His newest horse racing betting ideas all have a statistical foundation, so examine them out right here.
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Andrew, who discovered 11-1 Bathtub winner Plansina from his alternatives on Wednesday, has 4 horse racing betting ideas for Brighton, Chelmsford and the Curragh on Thursday. Take a look at the reasoning behind the alternatives under:
2.45 – DADS ARMY (system – Sire Ardad with 2yo newcomers)
Progeny of Ardad are usually precocious and had we backed the entire sire’s two-year-old newcomers we’d have discovered 9 winners from 49 bets for an enormous revenue of £168.83 to a £1 degree stake at SP. Of the 40 overwhelmed horses, an extra 17 completed second, third or fourth, typically at huge costs, suggesting that DADS ARMY is price a small curiosity on his debut.
Guess on Dads Military at SBK
2.15 – ANNER CASTLE (system – affected person experience over 1m4f at Roscommon final day out)
The 1m4f journey at Roscommon strongly favours those that race prominently and that was actually the case in Ciel D’afrique’s maiden on August 16th. The winner, runner-up and third all sat near the early tempo and fourth place Gordon Elliott’s Weseekhimhere, better of these ridden patiently, was a very simple winner over hurdles subsequent time. ANNER CASTLE, simply half a size behind that rival in fifth, did properly to complete so shut after his sluggish begin and may break his duck as we speak.
Again Anner Fort at SBK
5.30 – ALPINE LADY (system – James Tate in all-weather nurseries, latest outing)
James Tate has a excessive strike-rate in nurseries although we’d have made a small loss by backing all his runners. Probably the most worthwhile angle is to facet with is all-weather nursery runners who’ve had a run prior to now 4 weeks – this method has produced 19 winners from 61 qualifiers (31.2% strike-rate) for a revenue of £23.45 to a £1 degree stake at SP. ALPINE LADY, up in journey for her all-weather debut, appears properly drawn and has the help of title-chasing William Buick.
Guess on Alpine Girl at SBK
7.00 – FORT MADDOX BROWN (system – poorly drawn at Lingfield final day out)
Because the starting of August, it’s been tough to win across the within the observe at Lingfield (all-weather), placing these drawn low at a drawback. Since August 1st, had we wager all horses who had been drawn 1, 2, 3 or 4 in a Lingfield race of 8+ runners on their newest outing we’d have discovered 13 winners from 123 bets for a revenue of £119.75 to a £1 degree stake at SP. FORT MADDOX BROWN raced within the deep stuff on the within from stall 3 when solely eighth in a 1m handicap there on September 21st and may do higher this time. The drop again to 7f will swimsuit.
Again Fort Maddox Brown at SBK
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